speculation

/,spekju'leiʃn/
Noun
  1. continuous and profound contemplation or musing on a subject or series of subjects of a deep or abstruse nature
    • the habit of meditation is the basis for all real knowledge
  2. an investment that is very risky but could yield great profits
    • he knew the stock was a speculation when he bought it
  3. a hypothesis that has been formed by speculating or conjecturing (usually with little hard evidence)
    • speculations about the outcome of the election
    • he dismissed it as mere conjecture
  4. a message expressing an opinion based on incomplete evidence

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speculation
The investor considered the stock a risky speculation.